The US Dollar and S&P 500 are trading around familiar ranges as financial markets wait for the outcome of the EU leaders’ summit for direction cues.
S&P 500 – Prices are retesting resistance in the 1334.40-1341.90 area after bouncing from support above 1305.90, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. A break higher exposes 1363.90. Alternatively, a turn through support targets the 1300 figure followed by the 50% Fib at 1288.10.
CRUDE OIL – Prices completed a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern above support at 77.34, the 38.2%Fibonacci expansion, hinting a bounce may be ahead. Positive RSI divergence reinforces the case for an upside scenario. Initial resistance lines up at 81.07, the 23.6% Fib, with a break higher exposing the June 7 high at the 87.00 figure. Alternatively, a push through support exposes the 50% Fib at 74.35.
GOLD – Prices continue to test support at a rising trend line support set from the mid-May swing low, a barrier is reinforced by the 50% at 1568.46. A break lower here exposes the 61.8% level at 1551.50. Near-term resistance lines up at 1585.42, the 38.2%Fibonacci expansion, with a push above that targeting the 1600/oz figure.
US DOLLAR – Prices are treading water between resistance at 10172, the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion, and the October 4 2011 high at 10134. A push through support targets 10084. Alternatively, a reversal upward above resistance exposes the 23.6% expansion at 10261.