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Weak Consumer Confidence Takes the USD Up

Posted on: July 29th, 2009 by Forextvblog No Comments
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The USD Rebounds

The USD Rebounds

The U.S dollar drifted sideways against a basket of currencies on Wednesday, hovering not far from the lowest level of the year, as investors continue to assess the real economy by looking at economic data in the U.S. Nonetheless, the U.S. dollar had found modest support against the EUR and trimmed a loss against the Japanese yen after some positive news about the U.S. economy. With signs that the U.S. housing market may be stabilizing, traders will also be examining U.S. consumption and employment conditions in coming data.

The Dollar rose from the lowest level this year against most of its major currency counterparts on revived demand for the safety of the world’s main reserve currency.

The resurgence in risk aversion came after the Conference Board’s U.S. Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 46.6 from 49.3 in June; a worse result than the expected 49, reinforcing concerns that higher unemployment will hurt consumer sentiment. Contributing further to the demand for the safety of the American currency were the declines in stock markets.

The market also awaits more U.S. Treasury auctions this week and the effect on yield moves. A record $42 billion two-year Treasury auction on Tuesday had little impact on the currency market, although details of the outcome were not encouraging for the dollar.

Looking ahead to today, traders should follow the release of the Core Durable Goods Orders due at 12:30 GMT. After the disappointing results of the Consumer Confidence Index and the recent weak second quarter earning results, any worse than expected result will further dampen risk appetite and likely push the Dollar further up.

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